Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6344eb22634355ff2b2f17757548a040d57d1fb5d42e731a984489cd396cc31

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,444 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x54b5…4b31backed Over	54c	23,044$12,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,443.44	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	20,209$9,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,702.27	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	46c	3,094$1,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.36	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	43c	2,524$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,436.69	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over	57c	2,449$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.06	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	50c	2,044$1,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.62	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	46c	1,426$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.58	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over	54c	1,144$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.76	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	48c	1,038$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	46c	999.99$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.99	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	55c	587.13$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.92	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	55c	574.11$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.76	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	45c	543$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.85	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	46c	499.99$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Under	45c	289.18$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.05	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over	56c	249.82$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.9	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Over	58c	248.28$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over	53c	247.85$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.36	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	46c	233.78$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.24	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	56c	203.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.24	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b8…fa00backed Over	54c	202.35$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.27	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	42c	199.99$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	47c	197.41$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.63	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	36c	192.45$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.54	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	46c	191.18$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.24	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	54c	190.55$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.88	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Over	55c	182.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under	65c	147.53$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.34	173	29.5%51 W · 122 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	45c	122.91$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.6	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed Under	47c	122.19$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.76	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over	27c	110.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	338	47.9%162 W · 176 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked Over	48c	104.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a49…a3c3backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	159	37.1%59 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	281	64.1%180 W · 101 L	+16.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over	54c	99.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Over	53c	99.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	46c	95$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	50c	88$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a16…1a9fbacked Under	47c	80.42$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.42	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over	42c	69$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	66.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.77	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	57c	65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.73	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	60$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	54c	58.28$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under	46c	54.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.34	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36b…f873backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	46c	54$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.16	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	269	46.8%126 W · 143 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over	56c	47.66$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	46c	45.05$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.33	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over	43c	42.22$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	78c	36.66$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.11	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda42…f325backed Over	55c	36.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a4…7077backed Under	46c	35.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.07	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	47c	31.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.01	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x468a…3b4bbacked Under	46c	30.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under	46c	29.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	276	63%174 W · 102 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	44c	29.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over	55c	29.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed Over	55c	28.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under	60c	27.78$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.11	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd301…f176backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	80	55%44 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed4c…c903backed Over	55c	27.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under	46c	24.87$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.43	238	66.8%159 W · 79 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36fe…b131backed Over	54c	24.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	75c	21.65$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x279a…7495backed Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-8.0wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	75c	17.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event