TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over21c5,752$1,206 inWon+$4,545.6634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under79c3,938$3,111 inLost-$3,111.052,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over21c2,352$504 inWon+$1,848.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c2…13d2backed Under60c1,008$600 inLost-$6005450%27 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over18c870$157 inWon+$713.418642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over51c725.45$370 inWon+$355.4522147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over40c379.12$153 inWon+$2262,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under50c335.41$166 inLost-$166.3482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under34c304.6$103 inLost-$102.5545145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over36c288.14$103 inWon+$184.961,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under36c282.28$101 inLost-$100.6672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under75c265.25$199 inLost-$198.9410146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over19c161$31 inWon+$129.8265036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under40c124.51$50 inLost-$49.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under80c116.88$94 inLost-$93.52,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over20c116.88$23 inWon+$93.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over33c109$36 inWon+$72.8973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c91.12$61 inWon+$30.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over27c88$24 inWon+$64.2414260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over60c83.77$50 inWon+$33.7922560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under76c81.13$62 inLost-$62.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Under77c65.06$50 inLost-$505658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over41c53.13$22 inWon+$31.2885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under77c50.26$39 inLost-$38.562,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over31c50$16 inWon+$34.528251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over62c48.08$30 inWon+$18.0813149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c42.98$20 inLost-$20.322,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…b7adbacked Over25c40$10 inWon+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0082…c023backed Under50c35.67$18 inLost-$17.953828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under78c32.05$25 inLost-$25.11,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bca…bbcdbacked Over50c20$10 inWon+$102231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0af…2885backed Under64c15.63$10 inLost-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.