TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb29…947abacked No73c9,800$7,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.9118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x527d…d8f4backed Yes28c3,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No74c3,459$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.1443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes57c2,802$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.528731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8611167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c2,137$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.012,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes30c1,944$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes26c1,889$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Yes27c1,800$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4862334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes58c1,730$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.522,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c1,320$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No70c1,150$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0512266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No74c1,024$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.392,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes27c1,020$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2830220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed No68c770.74$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.841540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No38c741.68$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No50c710.8$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No73c628.49$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No55c586.7$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.745536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c584.34$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7731945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes53c566.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes35c556.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.42,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Yes27c552.33$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1311934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd6…415abacked Yes63c436.75$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.432147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e00…8a64backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No73c370.37$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec9…f819backed Yes74c305.3$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.323339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Yes32c297.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.232835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71e5…25bbbacked Yes42c288.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Yes27c281.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c275.67$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.773,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes27c255.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed No78c189.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1621251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes28c189.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed No29c172.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.936636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No58c171.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.822,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes52c163.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Yes27c162.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444020%8 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Yes12c162.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed Yes64c156.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006439.1%25 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c146.31$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.122,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes46c139.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3440145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…f072backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes38c128.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.993534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No38c118.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.972,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2948…c872backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307222.2%16 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a6…456cbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305947.5%28 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No53c108.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3919064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Yes38c108$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.043839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fab…43fcbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Yes19c105.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0220561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No77c102.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5520186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Yes53c100.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.622648.2%109 W · 117 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff38…738dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011441.2%47 W · 67 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514641.8%61 W · 85 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc5…6d9bbacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed Yes26c99.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.996833.8%23 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No73c99.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.761,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a77…573abacked Yes76c98.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes51c98.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes52c98.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.115267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed No52c96.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7920340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab65…b5b0backed Yes51c96.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No76c96.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.091,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf011…dc57backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254117.1%7 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1516342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef2…ff25backed Yes37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf9…a8a2backed Yes38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355332.1%17 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cf…c694backed No71c91.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…36bbbacked Yes56c89.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes27c87.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.491,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ed…61c2backed Yes27c83.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.572650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c51…43a3backed Yes72c83.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0838155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…4288backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeae…1455backed Yes27c77.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed No39c77.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5811828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No48c77.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1217229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Yes31c76.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf254…f312backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f3…7404backed Yes69c72.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a50…9216backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303540%14 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a4…4539backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf86…25abbacked Yes27c70.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc9…4067backed Yes68c69.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff3…fa63backed Yes38c65.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.222,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.