Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0167325fb37d6d61be122471df6d07d405acb45af2d35ce5b8d661af1b799102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 26,997$16,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,995.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 1c | 10,584$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under | 35c | 6,837$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.94 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 36c | 4,900$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 36c | 4,176$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.77 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked Under | 36c | 4,080$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.8 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed Under | 6c | 4,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 36c | 3,964$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.04 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 65c | 3,638$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 36c | 3,181$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.08 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 43c | 2,964$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.09 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 64c | 2,728$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.54 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 35c | 2,511$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.72 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…dc76backed Under | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 2,416$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 41c | 2,282$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.65 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Over | 65c | 2,154$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.85 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 2c | 2,118$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…becbbacked Under | 9c | 1,674$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Over | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…e85abacked Under | 9c | 1,490$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 27c | 1,324$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.16 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 25c | 1,261$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 1,250$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 1,096$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…d2eebacked Over | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 57c | 1,049$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 1,000$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 999.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 17c | 980$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Over | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Over | 65c | 899.51$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 35c | 873.74$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 19c | 807.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 39c | 800.11$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.07 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 778.27$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.96 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 776.21$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 745.53$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.82 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 22c | 679.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Under | 52c | 676.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Under | 36c | 661.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.18 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 64c | 553.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 45c | 551.87$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Under | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 35c | 500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Under | 61c | 486.11$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 37c | 481.92$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…610abacked Over | 65c | 443.55$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 429.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Over | 42c | 375$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 33c | 348.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 36c | 312$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 126 | 11.9%15 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 63c | 303.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…4df4backed Under | 37c | 300.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Under | 43c | 285.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Under | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 233.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Over | 64c | 230.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Under | 54c | 220.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Over | 60c | 215.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 59c | 208.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 199.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 40c | 193.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 36c | 189.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 40c | 185$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 178.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 175.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Under | 61c | 163.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 37c | 162.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…35c2backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…3608backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…61e8backed Over | 66c | 151.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 140.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 9c | 130.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…67b4backed Over | 65c | 121.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Under | 45c | 120.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…39e1backed Over | 64c | 115.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Over | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 40c | 111.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.