TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c26,997$16,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,995.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c10,584$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.342,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under35c6,837$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.948139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under36c4,900$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7641,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under36c4,176$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a52…1a8ebacked Under36c4,080$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.85038%19 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under6c4,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c3,964$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.042,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c3,638$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under36c3,181$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.0816546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under43c2,964$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.0932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over64c2,728$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.542,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under35c2,511$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.7238026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed Under8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c2,416$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over41c2,282$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.657560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Over65c2,154$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.853865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under2c2,118$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c2,044$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under9c1,674$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.463713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4619158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Under9c1,490$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.41618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under27c1,324$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.161,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under25c1,261$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c1,250$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.343,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c1,096$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a5…d2eebacked Over65c1,077$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over57c1,049$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c1,000$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.034,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under35c999.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under17c980$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.591,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.528251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over65c899.51$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.835545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under35c873.74$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under19c807.65$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over39c800.11$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.0753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under43c778.27$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c776.21$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under55c745.53$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.822,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under22c679.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.561,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under52c676.85$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under36c661.55$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over64c553.96$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.437140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under45c551.87$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17525352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under35c500$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under61c486.11$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.531145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under37c481.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3140736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over65c443.55$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.246434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under40c429.7$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over42c375$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under33c348.89$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under36c312$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3222731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…577dbacked Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6912611.9%15 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6931435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over63c303.11$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1520638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed Under37c300.41$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.152619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1056258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Under43c285.08$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.586855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Under36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.088639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c233.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0f…b9d0backed Over64c230.19$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.874037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under36c225$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817635.5%27 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x387e…c514backed Under54c220.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over60c215.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0710553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under59c208.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0890%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11027028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under54c199.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under40c193.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.551,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.512753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under36c189.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.893,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over40c185$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11158049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under39c178.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under54c175.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.82,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Under61c163.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016524.2%40 W · 125 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under37c162.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.71,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…35c2backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8516947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad77…61e8backed Over66c151.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.444946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over55c140.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2358642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under9c130.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3111114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Over65c121.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.472152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Under45c120.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.517358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Over64c115.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3813345.1%60 W · 73 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over56c113$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7215745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over40c111.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6911058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.