TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$553,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c144,361$96,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,089.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over34c111,682$37,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,914.5518738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over34c91,200$31,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,007.8920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under67c72,216$48,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,752.162657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over36c52,115$18,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,893.4614248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c24,231$15,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,411.881,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Over34c18,196$6,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,151.717835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under67c16,637$11,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,409.4936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c15,600$10,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4561,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over33c14,841$4,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over34c11,096$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.6421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over32c9,034$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.8410740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under64c9,001$5,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.1940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over36c4,936$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.936930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over33c4,674$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over33c4,304$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.165040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over36c3,244$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.6670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under68c3,235$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.291070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under66c3,076$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.9146550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under66c2,850$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c2,614$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under66c2,462$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef2…a060backed Under67c2,236$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.810568.6%72 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under66c1,976$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.511,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe635…702abacked Under65c1,686$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over34c1,648$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2828251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over20c1,615$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4128133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over33c1,576$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5434537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c1,459$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over33c1,223$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c1,206$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over33c1,202$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over33c1,093$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.022,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c1,092$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c1,059$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c1,024$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.571,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under66c1,001$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.2729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over36c999.19$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7147032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Under66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0915930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under66c900.82$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c872.21$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over31c833.35$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.343315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under63c824$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8812344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over33c771.84$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.711,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.239760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c751.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c683.87$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.673,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e7…1fafbacked Over33c588.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over36c547.22$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19722436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18025352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over24c479.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Over33c449.52$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.342958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Under68c429.6$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.811555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over23c422.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.221910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over33c422.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.511,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8641…cb25backed Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303050%15 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over37c359.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1339239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over22c359.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7914317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d1…214ebacked Over34c317.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.043036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under66c311.13$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.461,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over25c301.34$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.171,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9617459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf9…6d7ebacked Over33c297.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db9…668abacked Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.123125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over33c289.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5913943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f28…75c6backed Over33c289.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.42931%9 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c284.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.894,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under66c272.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.737471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under69c269.66$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.591,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under80c256.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under66c240.12$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6416052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Over34c203.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.325646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6827637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under66c187$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4781554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over28c167.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc6…a83dbacked Under67c154.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8513157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c150.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over35c146.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.346141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over35c142.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.017222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Over33c142.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8932356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.