Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa964eb76543e3916540cc12c55ecb67cda57a46fa64bd5976fce9d3e2ed2c2c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,157,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,413,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,157,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 50c | 626,227$313,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312,587.8 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5d…e218backed Over | 52c | 501,947$262,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,410.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 46c | 458,797$211,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,687.71 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 46c | 417,623$192,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,023.01 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…efe2backed Over | 54c | 370,370$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,370.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 338,539$173,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,534.39 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,000 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Under | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,000 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Over | 53c | 179,078$95,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,718.95 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 47c | 168,259$79,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,529.37 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 120,060$72,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,862.42 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Over | 52c | 118,504$61,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,017.81 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Under | 48c | 111,020$52,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,923.07 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 104,294$66,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,081.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed Over | 52c | 100,010$52,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,004.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 47c | 92,838$43,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,261.39 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Under | 46c | 78,584$36,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,085.29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 46c | 73,600$33,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,856 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Under | 47c | 66,666$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.91 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…308abacked Over | 47c | 66,287$31,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,132.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 54c | 62,832$33,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,709.58 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Under | 47c | 62,451$29,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,334.49 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 48c | 61,684$29,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,608.53 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 55c | 58,011$31,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,363.8 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Over | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 46c | 49,999$22,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,774.72 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Under | 53c | 49,372$25,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,998.65 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 47,769$22,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,925 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 46c | 41,468$19,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,245.63 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 41,134$23,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,730.41 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Under | 49c | 41,024$19,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Under | 46c | 40,500$18,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,629.95 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 39,999$24,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,030.98 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 56c | 38,503$21,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,410.9 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Under | 48c | 36,903$17,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,713.44 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 46c | 35,573$16,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,358.13 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 34,614$16,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,339.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Under | 62c | 34,381$21,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,258.78 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 46c | 33,955$15,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,311.17 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Under | 55c | 30,000$16,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,350 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Over | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 51c | 29,985$15,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,649.11 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 27,855$14,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,363.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Over | 24c | 24,933$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,886.4 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 47c | 21,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 54c | 18,418$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 54c | 18,332$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,402.7 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Under | 54c | 18,189$9,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,831.89 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 48c | 18,070$8,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,673.6 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 36c | 18,008$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.02 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d987backed Under | 40c | 17,145$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,852.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 49c | 16,418$8,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,078.68 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 46c | 16,000$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359.97 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 47c | 15,983$7,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,460.72 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 52c | 15,776$8,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,220.13 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 44c | 15,000$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.44 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 49c | 14,798$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.65 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 14,014$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.54 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Over | 54c | 14,000$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,405 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under | 47c | 13,820$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,534.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 47c | 13,811$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.22 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 13,544$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.54 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 46c | 13,340$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.36 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 62c | 13,000$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 47c | 12,958$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.87 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 57c | 12,912$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,525.9 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Under | 78c | 12,871$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Under | 48c | 12,773$6,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.97 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 48c | 12,670$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.6 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 51c | 12,419$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.46 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 46c | 12,292$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.44 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 48c | 12,200$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over | 55c | 12,000$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.98 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 11,710$5,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,628.18 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 45c | 11,236$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Under | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 41c | 10,904$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,384.84 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Under | 60c | 10,088$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…3ab4backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Under | 63c | 9,904$6,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,264.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 56c | 9,554$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 53c | 9,379$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.41 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Under | 49c | 9,232$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.68 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 55c | 9,050$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.77 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 42c | 8,860$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.87 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 46c | 8,679$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.27 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…16a4backed Over | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Under | 63c | 7,881$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 7,625$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Under | 47c | 7,527$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 43c | 7,282$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.59 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 7,150$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.75 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 7,081$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.75 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 40c | 7,017$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5this page
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.