Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb559bb0e246dd6d0d5ba641d37499a69e1d51324076485e6aeb82f8b5f87227d

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Croatiaof Portugal, Croatia
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,457,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,508,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457,612 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Portugal	33c	171,300$55,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,672.6	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal	29c	171,287$49,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,574.19	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Croatia	71c	154,489$109,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,837.56	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Croatia	68c	74,161$50,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,001.39	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Croatia	67c	70,000$47,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,869.55	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Croatia	67c	58,751$39,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,298.37	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal	27c	51,376$13,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,785.56	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Croatia	67c	50,833$34,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,774.8	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Croatia	67c	40,169$27,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,169.41	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Portugal	32c	33,659$10,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,934.4	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Portugal	10c	29,999$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,049.95	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portugal	24c	29,748$7,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,111.27	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Croatia	67c	22,595$15,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,384.34	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Croatia	67c	16,221$10,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,312.35	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Portugal	33c	15,133$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Croatia	69c	15,064$10,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,645.95	193	32.1%62 W · 131 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Croatia	68c	14,800$9,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,810	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Portugal	22c	13,400$3,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,014.21	142	50%71 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Portugal	6c	13,390$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.55	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Portugal	22c	10,623$2,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,337.16	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Portugal	34c	10,111$3,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,461.57	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Croatia	66c	10,000$6,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,366.45	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Portugal	34c	10,000$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Portugal	33c	10,000$3,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,274.97	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Portugal	33c	8,794$2,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,902.12	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Croatia	68c	8,620$5,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,779.89	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Portugal	20c	8,517$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740.81	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Croatia	67c	8,315$5,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,716.92	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Croatia	68c	8,263$5,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,644.23	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Croatia	67c	8,256$5,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,719.11	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal	32c	7,940$2,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520.81	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Portugal	32c	7,692$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Portugal	33c	6,812$2,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,231	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Croatia	68c	6,805$4,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,177.61	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Croatia	67c	6,371$4,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,086.54	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Croatia	68c	6,334$4,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,057.63	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Portugal	32c	6,224$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Croatia	67c	6,061$4,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	+8.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Portugal	2c	6,049$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.4	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Portugal	32c	6,023$1,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,957.38	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Portugal	33c	6,018$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Croatia	69c	6,000$4,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,876.97	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Portugal	33c	5,935$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938.75	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Portugal	20c	5,402$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.1	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Portugal	33c	5,000$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.5	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Portugal	30c	4,954$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Croatia	67c	4,822$3,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.45	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Portugal	6c	4,713$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.42	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Portugal	32c	4,688$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Portugal	34c	4,650$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.74	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portugal	8c	4,540$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.21	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Portugal	33c	4,500$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.97	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Croatia	67c	4,386$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,447.22	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Portugal	33c	4,237$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.09	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Portugal	32c	3,967$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.81	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Croatia	68c	3,644$2,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.08	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Portugal	33c	3,636$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Croatia	68c	3,516$2,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.37	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Portugal	11c	3,422$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.42	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x207e…7683backed Croatia	68c	3,235$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.29	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Croatia	69c	3,225$2,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.75	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Portugal	33c	3,080$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.99	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed Portugal	32c	3,077$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Portugal	5c	3,042$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.13	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Croatia	67c	3,000$2,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.5	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Portugal	33c	3,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Portugal	32c	3,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.99	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Portugal	33c	2,996$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.66	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Portugal	33c	2,985$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Portugal	33c	2,846$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.27	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Croatia	67c	2,798$1,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.34	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167e…28d9backed Croatia	67c	2,550$1,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.64	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Croatia	67c	2,549$1,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.09	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Portugal	33c	2,500$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.75	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Croatia	69c	2,446$1,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.26	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Portugal	32c	2,400$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.99	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Portugal	32c	2,308$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Portugal	9c	2,286$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Portugal	23c	2,181$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Croatia	67c	2,155$1,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.76	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Portugal	32c	2,109$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.86	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Croatia	67c	2,100$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.74	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Croatia	69c	2,086$1,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.81	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Portugal	4c	2,080$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.11	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Croatia	67c	2,074$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.58	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Portugal	9c	2,061$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.56	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Portugal	33c	2,060$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.95	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Portugal	32c	2,010$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.67	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Portugal	33c	2,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Croatia	67c	2,000$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Portugal	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Croatia	67c	2,000$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.98	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Portugal	33c	1,984$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.28	140	35.7%50 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Portugal	17c	1,964$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.88	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Portugal	32c	1,956$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.91	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Croatia	70c	1,934$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.79	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Croatia	67c	1,798$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.75	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Croatia	68c	1,765$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.71	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Croatia	67c	1,708$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.92	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Portugal	33c	1,697$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event