TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01c0…9bf5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,279.19
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.96
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,464.83
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,832.48
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.67
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,390.84
Colombia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.66
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.35
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$758.26
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.55
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$921.6
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$671.5
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.4
Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$450.66
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$380.97
Spain to score first vs. Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$390.6
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$316.82
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$380.88
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$225.06
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$286.26
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.25
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.84
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.68
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.74
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$199.33
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,214.31
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$133.01
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$108.57
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$402.32
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.49
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.88
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$512.78
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.7
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.66
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.69
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.25
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.12
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$159.94
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$110.67
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$442.03
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$326.04
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$156.31
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.64
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$206.83
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$161.91
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.22
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$520.08
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,992.88
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,041.11
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$390
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$492.09
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.17
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$272.1
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.73
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$128.12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.22
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$333.06
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,337.79
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920.66
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,008.9
Valorant: QoR vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$222.82
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.04
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$497.9
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$235.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$72.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.