Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ab52d431918f3bb1f72fc153450c307aa913854c5479e8110adb643bcb3ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Starsof LOS, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LOS | 4c | 28,504$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.5 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 2,645$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.36 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOS | 47c | 2,533$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.74 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed LOS | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LOS | 47c | 1,572$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.84 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 1,353$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.52 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 1,214$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 1,047$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed LOS | 40c | 833.96$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 751.95$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LOS | 44c | 710.93$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.81 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LOS | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 540.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…8c9ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 531.51$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked LOS | 42c | 351.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 289.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed LOS | 37c | 258.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed LOS | 45c | 209.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 201.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 200.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed LOS | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…2f97backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 190.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 148.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed LOS | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked LOS | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LOS | 47c | 121.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed LOS | 46c | 118.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked LOS | 48c | 110.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…f8bcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked LOS | 37c | 79.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c3…c917backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 63.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed LOS | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 51c | 61.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 50.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 50.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed LOS | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…7292backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 48.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked LOS | 49c | 47.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed LOS | 49c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 65c | 45.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked LOS | 40c | 44.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 37.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LOS | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.