Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc55420924c71340438dbbdb9fa795ef5b1d161e07744a3290b7f08d9af4552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 2,199$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.63 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 669.73$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 60c | 593.22$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.93 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 40c | 583.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 54c | 443.73$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 40c | 73.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 40c | 54.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 41c | 52.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 40c | 49.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Over | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 60c | 31.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)Vivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.