CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc46da8e4b9d072edcfdf4d614d0d7ab822591d17b973e5c21f27d604bc1e35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit | 66c | 87,176$57,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,470.07 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.99 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.65 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 9z | 32c | 33,898$10,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,798.07 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 9z | 33c | 30,089$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929.33 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked 9z | 34c | 22,500$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,724.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 66c | 15,228$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.3 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed 9z | 33c | 14,924$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.24 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z | 33c | 14,908$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.53 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 9z | 34c | 10,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Spirit | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 9z | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 65c | 8,909$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.12 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 64c | 5,979$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.66 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 9z | 34c | 5,266$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.11 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked 9z | 32c | 5,104$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.32 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…c29dbacked Spirit | 65c | 5,082$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…1996backed Spirit | 67c | 4,366$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed 9z | 29c | 4,190$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.72 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed 9z | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Spirit | 69c | 3,643$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.66 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 9z | 35c | 3,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.99 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked 9z | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 69c | 2,896$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.29 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 9z | 35c | 2,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 9z | 28c | 2,243$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.82 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked 9z | 34c | 2,135$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.41 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed 9z | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Spirit | 67c | 1,960$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Spirit | 67c | 1,934$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spirit | 65c | 1,820$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked 9z | 33c | 1,684$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,591$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Spirit | 65c | 1,506$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.88 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 9z | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked 9z | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed 9z | 34c | 1,481$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed 9z | 33c | 1,466$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 66c | 1,437$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.64 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Spirit | 69c | 1,297$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.64 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed Spirit | 67c | 1,100$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Spirit | 66c | 1,093$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Spirit | 66c | 1,040$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.51 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed Spirit | 65c | 1,031$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.77 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Spirit | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 9z | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 607 | 48.1%292 W · 315 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Spirit | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spirit | 68c | 989.49$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…b839backed 9z | 34c | 904$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked 9z | 33c | 889.94$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 9z | 32c | 887.95$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed 9z | 34c | 883$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed 9z | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Spirit | 65c | 876.92$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed 9z | 35c | 863.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Spirit | 65c | 859.01$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 9z | 34c | 809$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Spirit | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 9z | 35c | 773.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Spirit | 65c | 770$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Spirit | 65c | 766.92$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 36c | 708$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.14 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Spirit | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Spirit | 67c | 556.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit | 68c | 520.29$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed 9z | 33c | 510.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed 9z | 34c | 505$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked 9z | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…f08cbacked Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…6cebbacked 9z | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 9z | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spirit | 67c | 499.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spirit | 67c | 476$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 65c | 457.66$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed 9z | 33c | 446.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spirit | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 67c | 400$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Spirit | 68c | 389.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Spirit | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Spirit | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Spirit | 66c | 364.41$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Spirit | 67c | 355.6$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Spirit | 69c | 346.62$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Spirit | 79c | 341.85$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Spirit | 68c | 322.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Spirit | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 9z | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…8224backed Spirit | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.