TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9559…9fd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.79
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$257.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.56
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$283.66
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.82
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$208.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$209.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.