CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3a5fad286fd49fb82baefc2aff5d6703e581adb127eb2d601285fc904e5579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $909,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 202,382$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.83 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91da…1bc1backed Yes | 2c | 111,785$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Yes | 2c | 45,070$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Yes | 1c | 41,737$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 1c | 36,164$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.06 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 1c | 28,838$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.34 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 1c | 27,795$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.37 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 1c | 25,620$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 1c | 23,984$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,418$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 13,330$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 1c | 11,027$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 10,841$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…08f4backed Yes | 1c | 9,881$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 2c | 9,317$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 1c | 8,988$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Yes | 3c | 7,665$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 199 | 47.2%94 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 7,649$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,554$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 1c | 7,247$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed Yes | 2c | 7,138$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…b383backed Yes | 1c | 6,959$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 2c | 6,836$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 2c | 6,260$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,126$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 5,804$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 2c | 5,596$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…f946backed Yes | 2c | 5,540$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,977$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes | 2c | 3,809$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Yes | 0c | 3,597$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Yes | 2c | 3,384$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…7c98backed Yes | 1c | 3,050$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,401$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Yes | 2c | 2,350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,324$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…fb68backed Yes | 2c | 2,138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,075$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…b81dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,819$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,789$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…1589backed Yes | 2c | 1,755$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,672$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Yes | 1c | 1,562$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,520$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…28dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,444$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,442$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…d005backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,288$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…805cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…2e36backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 1c | 999.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb625…7f8abacked Yes | 1c | 893$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…6e58backed Yes | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Yes | 1c | 799.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3f…cd22backed Yes | 2c | 719.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 2c | 512.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…c22abacked Yes | 2c | 470.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.