TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,745 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7040…81fabacked Yes0c54,069$133 inLost-$133.068614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c38,981$46 inLost-$45.622,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd163…1428backed Yes0c38,937$139 inLost-$139.281442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes0c28,837$29 inLost-$29.0281244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c26,278$26 inLost-$26.28100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes0c25,094$75 inLost-$75.282010%2 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c24,946$50 inLost-$49.89240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c18,089$47 inLost-$47.05700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes0c15,000$35 inLost-$351,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes0c11,738$28 inLost-$28.481315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes0c10,686$28 inLost-$28.3731933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c10,266$10 inLost-$10.27100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…0131backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9940…b140backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes0c8,801$28 inLost-$27.75200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7419…a3adbacked Yes0c8,671$32 inLost-$3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked Yes0c8,144$24 inLost-$23.558942.7%38 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes0c7,785$15 inLost-$15.4814820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c1…675ebacked Yes0c6,691$13 inLost-$13.382733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7252…81f9backed Yes0c6,500$20 inLost-$19.560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes0c5,866$13 inLost-$13.4514332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed Yes0c5,833$20 inLost-$20323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes0c2,530$10 inLost-$10.126552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.