CS2 · resolved market
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810aabb183a1df47b151a7e6918bf7603c19889055a75d8eddf42f188c876a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $950,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 7c | 133,863$9,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,665.4 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Yes | 8c | 72,831$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.28 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 8c | 26,282$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.94 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…75a2backed Yes | 7c | 25,230$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 7c | 20,798$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.26 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.08 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 7c | 18,901$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Yes | 8c | 18,534$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.83 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 7c | 18,092$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 7c | 14,642$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.73 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 8c | 14,514$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.89 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Yes | 5c | 13,560$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked Yes | 6c | 13,002$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.57 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 5c | 12,063$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.52 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Yes | 9c | 11,628$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c37…0631backed Yes | 9c | 10,988$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 10,682$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,288$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.17 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 6c | 10,148$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.1 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 10,054$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.91 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes | 10c | 9,257$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.16 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 9,170$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 8c | 8,823$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 5c | 8,054$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.58 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Yes | 9c | 7,694$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.76 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 5c | 6,596$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 5c | 6,033$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 9c | 5,912$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.06 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,809$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.61 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 8c | 5,676$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.69 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,618$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 9c | 5,539$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.71 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,469$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,387$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…b994backed Yes | 10c | 5,155$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,116$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Yes | 9c | 5,023$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.59 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 9c | 4,981$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.88 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Yes | 7c | 4,617$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.92 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 9c | 4,585$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,465$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.75 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 8c | 3,452$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 9c | 3,407$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 3,343$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Yes | 9c | 3,340$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 8c | 3,235$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…50abbacked Yes | 9c | 3,235$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f77…8e71backed Yes | 9c | 3,162$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 5c | 3,055$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…f490backed Yes | 7c | 2,958$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,920$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0b…c5f3backed Yes | 6c | 2,679$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Yes | 8c | 2,588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 2,573$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,524$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…d739backed Yes | 10c | 2,510$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 9c | 2,479$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,407$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 8c | 2,400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…05d0backed Yes | 9c | 2,312$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 8c | 2,306$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 5c | 2,268$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…e17bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,187$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…f869backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…ae63backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,965$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…2ddebacked Yes | 5c | 1,932$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,817$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c2bdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,765$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 5c | 1,764$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…e66cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,745$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…b370backed Yes | 6c | 1,695$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,690$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 6c | 1,672$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Yes | 9c | 1,669$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,653$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…675ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,623$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…5e6dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,615$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…c7a2backed Yes | 9c | 1,589$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Yes | 6c | 1,584$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc63…a290backed Yes | 8c | 1,566$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 8c | 1,546$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 8c | 1,520$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked Yes | 11c | 1,453$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 6c | 1,296$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…1428backed Yes | 11c | 1,270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 9c | 1,239$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Yes | 9c | 1,223$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8410backed Yes | 8c | 1,196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.