TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1440…1a39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$160.69
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.8
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.85
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.74
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.33
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.53
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$45.97
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.32
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.66
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.28
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.63
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$35.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.05
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.57
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$59.11
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.89
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.24
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.66
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$119.25
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.3
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+301.3%+$111.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.57
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.64
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$99.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$28.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$489.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$37.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.82
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$32.25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$63.1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+250.4%+$319.28
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.67
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.67
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$174.68
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$153.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.32
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.