Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd87259e9a3cfa6ce07c0d97bb41ee6859ea47915717632f121d9b96cac4cf7a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 15,162$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.34 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 13,144$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.95 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 10,045$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.27 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Under | 79c | 7,616$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 75c | 7,212$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.04 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 15c | 5,331$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 25c | 5,250$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 5,098$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.46 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 77c | 4,931$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 25c | 3,862$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 25c | 3,260$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…f00ebacked Over | 25c | 3,180$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 22c | 2,651$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 75c | 2,616$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.96 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…78dbbacked Under | 79c | 2,529$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 76c | 2,300$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 6c | 2,271$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 2,078$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.69 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 75c | 2,038$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.64 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…73b8backed Over | 11c | 2,027$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…0f35backed Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,962$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 75c | 1,912$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 1,597$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 1,332$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.54 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Over | 35c | 1,234$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over | 16c | 1,117$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 26c | 1,048$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 25c | 1,037$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 1,037$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 59c | 882$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Over | 27c | 872.29$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Under | 60c | 832.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Over | 25c | 805.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 801.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 15c | 729$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 68c | 722$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 75c | 711.69$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…6ebdbacked Under | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 653.16$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Under | 76c | 650.78$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 25c | 640$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Over | 16c | 616.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 58c | 583.03$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 76c | 580$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 549.94$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Under | 76c | 533$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Over | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Over | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 21c | 475.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 20c | 459.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…3a87backed Over | 24c | 458.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…632cbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a9e4backed Over | 25c | 421.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…883cbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 25c | 403.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e90fbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 16c | 398.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Over | 28c | 389.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 18c | 381.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Over | 25c | 381.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 26c | 374.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 362.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Under | 72c | 361.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 357.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…f1b2backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Over | 25c | 326.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 323.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 75c | 321.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…179fbacked Over | 28c | 308.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 25c | 304.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…743cbacked Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 74c | 300$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…ab59backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 21c | 298.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 73c | 297.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 25c | 286.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 15c | 272.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 70c | 272.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…9ce2backed Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a6…d7a8backed Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Over | 25c | 255.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 75c | 252.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.