TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0f3…883c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 49 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5046%23 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$411
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$315.83
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$250.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$183.54
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$124.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.07
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$38.1
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$67.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
1H Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.27
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$12.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.