Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45a93b98735d9c7b48a61ae7661bb756ccf5b1529bdf88048bcf5404ad88f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $986,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,022,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,047 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 55c | 212,371$117,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,046.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 65,194$29,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,229.59 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 37,586$14,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,790.05 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 56c | 28,806$16,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,674.83 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 55c | 28,772$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,971.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 25,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 22,555$9,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,949.47 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…3b18backed Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Over | 42c | 16,777$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Under | 56c | 16,591$9,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 55c | 15,962$8,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 54c | 13,700$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 56c | 12,600$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.92 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 48c | 12,424$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 11,056$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 55c | 10,689$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.94 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Over | 45c | 10,222$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Over | 44c | 10,000$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.88 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 44c | 9,999$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.33 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Under | 53c | 9,750$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 9,037$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.47 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 58c | 8,403$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 45c | 8,000$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.35 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 54c | 7,967$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 44c | 7,400$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 45c | 7,216$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.82 | 160 | 35.6%57 W · 103 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…80e6backed Under | 44c | 6,787$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 45c | 6,500$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 48c | 6,413$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.38 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 46c | 6,400$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Under | 58c | 5,954$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Over | 44c | 5,867$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Over | 44c | 5,734$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 5,416$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.85 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 56c | 5,392$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Under | 55c | 5,131$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.48 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Over | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 49c | 4,850$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.48 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 46c | 4,800$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.79 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Over | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Under | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 45c | 4,272$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 44c | 4,151$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Over | 45c | 4,126$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed Under | 56c | 3,951$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 39c | 3,816$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 46c | 3,640$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 56c | 3,608$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 34c | 3,500$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 56c | 3,491$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Over | 44c | 3,446$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…b274backed Over | 45c | 3,431$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 26c | 3,398$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Under | 55c | 3,398$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 44c | 3,371$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Over | 32c | 3,162$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 76c | 3,073$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.1 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 44c | 2,861$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 2,840$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.89 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 2,798$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.51 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 56c | 2,510$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 46c | 2,370$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.02 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 45c | 2,346$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 57c | 2,288$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…3592backed Over | 44c | 2,284$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 44c | 2,280$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…2349backed Under | 57c | 2,241$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 31c | 2,225$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,210$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.34 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 2,202$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.68 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Under | 69c | 2,179$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 45c | 2,165$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.