TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arsenal FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Arsenal FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb15…8393backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c14,293$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe657…e41fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c5,984$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65db…aac5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c4,934$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Paris Saint-Germain FC6c3,948$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2216035.6%57 W · 103 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c3,930$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002825%7 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9915032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe050…ed54backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c2,993$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c2,763$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e0…6829backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c2,605$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c2,580$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.582832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+215.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c2,427$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.82812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c2,398$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc445…19a9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC1c1,545$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,440$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Paris Saint-Germain FC4c1,429$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC3c1,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…6994backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,319$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC9c1,300$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d55…e1e7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,273$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+137.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,197$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.920947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,106$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.48933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,087$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061d…48eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC5c1,082$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412c…2d87backed Paris Saint-Germain FC6c1,050$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,006$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c907.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.571233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c876.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.445230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c813.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6491032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…8655backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c699.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.891747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Paris Saint-Germain FC9c681.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c650$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c647.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.791323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c636.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf71f…32ddbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c578$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.461540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5e…53d3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c508.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c504.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.822254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Paris Saint-Germain FC7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c495$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ba…e27cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC10c478.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC7c449.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa85a…38bfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c447$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC6c446.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.082638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4b…ddb9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c437.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c406.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.531030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…c49fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c387.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd2…8e36backed Paris Saint-Germain FC7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c345.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.622540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b2…10cebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c328.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d8…0979backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255050%25 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x823c…d828backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Paris Saint-Germain FC9c294$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99ca…bd7fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c281.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ec…11c9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c278.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x155f…c61ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC4c264.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+132.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a0…d943backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x333a…bd76backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe896…2698backed Paris Saint-Germain FC6c242.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe14f…8581backed Paris Saint-Germain FC9c237.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…02a3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC11c186.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c180$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c179.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014e…f695backed Paris Saint-Germain FC9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…a8cbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c161.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c154.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.342360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55358.5%31 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c143.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c143.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.453154.8%17 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf16f…42f2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c134.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2029…8ee0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee12…c850backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf854…8e03backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5911…a4b5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…066ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6627…000cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa068…955abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…4c6cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC9c119.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.