TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab6b…521b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,358.13
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.6
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,058.5
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.75
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$105.59
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$106.6
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+315.3%+$388.46
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$169.98
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.39
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Real Oviedo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.