Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb965c8530decd8db873671d33fd22ffbdd170d07cf5acd8e0cfd70d52c4b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Berrettini, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,210,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,525,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,210,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Matteo Berrettini | 62c | 159,999$99,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,199.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 130,562$48,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,657.66 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Matteo Berrettini | 1c | 124,166$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.38 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…cd1fbacked Matteo Berrettini | 58c | 119,095$68,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,947.83 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Matteo Berrettini | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,000 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 90,499$35,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,697.81 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 83,767$30,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,110.96 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 61,743$20,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,313.04 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Matteo Berrettini | 63c | 40,904$25,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,769.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 40,128$14,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,280.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Matteo Berrettini | 62c | 39,929$24,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,756.25 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 38,204$14,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,686.38 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 35,000$11,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,029.91 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 34,856$19,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,213.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Matteo Berrettini | 62c | 34,142$21,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,309.27 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 32,828$8,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,354.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Matteo Berrettini | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Berrettini | 53c | 25,593$13,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,659.53 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 75c | 24,118$17,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.23 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Berrettini | 37c | 22,494$8,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,392.14 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 22,222$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.81 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Matteo Berrettini | 55c | 20,527$11,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,331.12 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Berrettini | 45c | 20,364$9,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,174.87 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…31a9backed Matteo Berrettini | 64c | 19,974$12,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,732.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Matteo Berrettini | 45c | 17,453$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 16,858$6,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.36 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matteo Berrettini | 1c | 16,216$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Matteo Berrettini | 10c | 16,200$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 14,521$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.83 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…54d0backed Matteo Berrettini | 75c | 13,394$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 12,655$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.39 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Matteo Berrettini | 2c | 12,456$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 11,273$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,955 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 10,760$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.33 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Matteo Berrettini | 28c | 10,000$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.38 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Matteo Berrettini | 1c | 9,863$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 9,529$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.05 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 21c | 9,523$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 9,385$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.28 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Matteo Berrettini | 34c | 9,258$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.79 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Matteo Berrettini | 48c | 9,153$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 8,889$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.86 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Berrettini | 50c | 8,606$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.04 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Matteo Berrettini | 3c | 8,459$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.84 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 8,254$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.36 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 8,097$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.45 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Matteo Berrettini | 30c | 7,500$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 6,943$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.15 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 6,666$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.33 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Matteo Berrettini | 32c | 6,124$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.25 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Matteo Berrettini | 77c | 6,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.99 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 5,982$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.54 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 5,908$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.53 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 5,709$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.82 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 5,519$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.85 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 5,379$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.92 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 4,869$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 4,845$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.18 | 323 | 53.6%173 W · 150 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 4,815$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.61 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 4,812$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.1 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 4,750$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.5 | 333 | 42.6%142 W · 191 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Berrettini | 48c | 4,662$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.68 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…38c8backed Matteo Berrettini | 64c | 4,353$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Matteo Berrettini | 28c | 4,345$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.73 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 4,336$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.75 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 4,270$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.42 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 4,253$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.51 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Matteo Berrettini | 43c | 4,186$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.9 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 4,029$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.98 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 3,988$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.54 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Matteo Berrettini | 64c | 3,887$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 3,862$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9db8backed Matteo Berrettini | 46c | 3,775$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 64c | 3,722$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.85 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 3,636$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Matteo Berrettini | 46c | 3,533$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Matteo Berrettini | 5c | 3,480$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 3,455$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Matteo Berrettini | 42c | 3,430$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.25 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Berrettini | 45c | 3,366$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.92 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 3,250$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.3 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Matteo Berrettini | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.98 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Matteo Berrettini | 30c | 3,196$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…3d1ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 3,125$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…f3bebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 3,110$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…484ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 3,014$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…50eabacked Matteo Berrettini | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Matteo Berrettini | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Matteo Berrettini | 30c | 2,976$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,909$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.65 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Matteo Berrettini | 28c | 2,846$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Matteo Berrettini | 35c | 2,796$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.67 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Matteo Berrettini | 64c | 2,750$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Matteo Berrettini | 42c | 2,707$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Berrettini vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs ArnaldiArnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.