TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06fa…455c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$715.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+471.6%+$850.1
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$355.45
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.39
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$847
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+219.8%+$2,224.11
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+259.6%+$13,615.33
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$338.55
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$4,133.86
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,805.44
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,521.29
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,942.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,642.57
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,884
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,551.69
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 3 Winner: Fokina vs Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,018
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.96
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$987
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$692
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$508
Cary: Ozan Baris vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.64
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Milan: Alex Barrena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$276.12
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$598.5
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,734.8
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$530.61
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Xinyu Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,999.41
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$124.42
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$5,731.6
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,384.83
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Landalucebacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,873.56
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,982.21
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,654.61
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$919.14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.59
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$974
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,774.77
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,843.14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,099.41
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$3,955.01
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,634.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$451.38
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$567
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$198.97
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.84
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$8,477.22
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,810.3
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,372.99
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,220.06
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,099.75
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,809Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$3,631.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,255.32
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,836.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.