MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52dcc3564e1f4aace4fd472e325d6451381cf41bf2c4cfbf7d7f44248622620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Miami Marlins, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 15,403$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 15,255$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.7 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 13,049$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118.44 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 8,623$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 7,723$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.7 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 5,889$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.38 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 4,221$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.09 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 4,196$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 3,672$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 3,370$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,231$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.59 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,998$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.17 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,333$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,304$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 2,000$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,980$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.89 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,971$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,708$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.86 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,660$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 1,587$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.77 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,260$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.88 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,166$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,085$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,056$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 1,029$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,021$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.41 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 943.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.35 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 852.35$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 842.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.07 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 810$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 709$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 705.88$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 660$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 653.03$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 424.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 399$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 375$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 341$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 321$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 313.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 304.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 276.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 274$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 233.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 213.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 195.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 174.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 154.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 140.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 134.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 120.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 119$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 94.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 87.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 79.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 76.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 75.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 70.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 69.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…3492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…4d75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 56.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.