TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x137f…968d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
275
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 55 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT16943.2%73 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+73.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$67.33
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+239.2%+$358.79
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+2,361.7%+$1,180.87
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+114.4%+$57.19
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+97.5%+$109.03
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+669.2%+$200.77
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+113.2%+$19.58
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.41
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$141.03
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$81.82
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,036.27
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Jumper airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Linea airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$58.11
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$14.92
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$26.28
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+145.8%+$218.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Solana reach $250 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.