MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2cafdf9c307fbc34fd47c617ebfeb713d5a7750c85e33041f18bd9171ab5c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $765,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 241,585$103,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,698.13 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 200,000$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,999.97 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 61,933$36,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,106.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 50,327$18,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,470.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 39,186$16,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,066.41 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 26,495$16,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 24,186$16,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.27 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 15,697$8,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 15,601$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,766.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 15,536$8,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.54 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 11,993$6,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.09 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 9,663$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.21 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 8,360$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.33 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 8,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 7,999$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.55 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 6,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 5,974$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.47 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 5,945$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.07 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 5,889$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.19 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 5,796$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.9 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 5,258$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 5,217$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,200$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 4,515$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 4,042$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.82 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.82 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,073$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 2,490$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.33 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,183$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.83 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,048$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 1,999$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.57 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,962$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.35 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 1,885$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 1,556$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.65 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…7fdcbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 1,417$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,278$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,241$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.56 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 1,239$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,206$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,163$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.57 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,150$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,133$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…c617backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,021$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,008$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…e3b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,000$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 999$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 926.83$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 920.28$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 833.44$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 799.57$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.76 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 763.44$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 761$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 725$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 706.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…74eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 674.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 646.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 644.36$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 635.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 595.36$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 527.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 509.01$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 497.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 496.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 474$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 465.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa13…50ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 443.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 441.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 397.18$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 395$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 389$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 378.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.