TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c21,964$12,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,838.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6008950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c7,725$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.933,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c4,307$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.464,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8402445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c3,790$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under57c3,510$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.369453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under59c3,481$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.213461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over45c3,009$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.7745252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Over41c2,931$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.712245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5832157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c2,589$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1638,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over46c2,502$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.8786548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c2,260$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c2,000$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over5c1,633$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.669636.5%35 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under56c1,594$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.3436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over34c1,525$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.568,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Over45c1,025$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.256749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over41c1,024$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.921,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Under60c1,018$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c886$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.144,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over48c886$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2838353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over45c785.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.755653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over8c775.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.121,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under59c774.93$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c603.66$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.392,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under59c563$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.831,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over23c542.01$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.58,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over6c464$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.74,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under59c422.25$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1287750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over45c399$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.551,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over43c355.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9454642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under53c280.2$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.811,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Over43c193.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.429446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Under56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3211258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4316552.7%87 W · 78 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over45c166.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0652638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under79c152.57$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over26c150.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7630548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over49c131.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3347358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c122.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Over26c117.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.842733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.096152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Over41c98.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0318244.5%81 W · 101 L-14.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under56c98.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3221547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Over24c96.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5346444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over49c88.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.411,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under56c77.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1825355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over45c71.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.135747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Over47c70.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under57c70.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1928751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over44c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1612752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under56c58.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.968342.2%35 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over45c51.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1321550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over25c50.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4953950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under54c48.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5427252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under56c48.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Under79c48.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.158850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6478155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over49c44.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7140658.4%237 W · 169 L+2.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Over49c44.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7155259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb59…6552backed Over47c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.583745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under59c39.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2130554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Over45c38.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2814848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under55c37.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.012,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Over44c33.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.943145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…eebbbacked Under57c29.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.772937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Over47c27.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.087565.3%49 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.445,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Over47c24.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under54c23.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.858352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Over46c22.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410557.1%60 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2726857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Under60c18.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.