TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4934…5951

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
441
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT11258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.04
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.68
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.45
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.86
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.24
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.29
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.57
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.34
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.54
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.04
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.16
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$66.01
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.24
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.18
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.46
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.1
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10132.7%33 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.49
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$38.2
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$219.39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$336
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$239.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$118.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+235.9%+$456.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,268.4%+$8,619.98
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$232
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$372
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$121.8
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+268.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,729.37
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,529.75
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$387.49
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$468.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$422.55
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+239.1%+$682.57
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$180.04
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.54
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+8,233.3%+$988.04
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.66
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.16
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+50%+$99.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$200.64
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.2
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.02
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Odense BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Rangers FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
FC Fredericia vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+68.1%+$16.2
FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+68.1%+$16.2
AFC Ajax vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Dundee FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+68.1%+$16.2
Falkirk FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+68.5%+$8.54
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.8%+$2.87
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.2wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-58.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagalbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Samsun: Gabriel Debru vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Hewitt (+1.5)backed Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Sofia Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)backed Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$111
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymerbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.99
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$164.3
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+492.6%+$199.5
Holstein Kiel vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+101%+$20.1
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.9%+$15.03
Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.06
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+68.1%+$16.2
1. FC Nürnberg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+190%+$219.5
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+101%+$205.72
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+562.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.3
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$335
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.33
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.51
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,453.4%+$305.27
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+4,469.2%+$2,749.46
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.55
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.06
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.24
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.04
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.04
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.04
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$166.16
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.95
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+200%+$600
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+80.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.48
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+298.9%+$2,783.94
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+408.2%+$524.03
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44%+$35.47
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+70%+$24.7
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+68.1%+$16.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.97
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$178.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.18
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$170.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$162.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.