MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057ed43aaf1c19d0b6f01ae480df4892bb1fcb815454e1948ab645f3ee8aedc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Minnesota Twins, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 141,807$76,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,236.22 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 116,203$29,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,046.91 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 102,781$45,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,804.58 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 33,731$25,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,275.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 30,241$23,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,909.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 21,300$11,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,797.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 15,044$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 6,250$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 5,914$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 5,892$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,553$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.34 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,133$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.05 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,781$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.35 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,420$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.31 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,387$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.09 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,260$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 2,116$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,033$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.7 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,006$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.76 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,470$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,466$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.02 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,449$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.03 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,367$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.48 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,091$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 999$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 909.27$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 888$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 815.21$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 775.4$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 704.74$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 643.04$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 599.68$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.85 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 537.22$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 489.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 431.92$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 422.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 382$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 336.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…10f0backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 320.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 311.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 309.4$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 291.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 291.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 283.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 279.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 268.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 263.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 248.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 231.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 221.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 219$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 214.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…442dbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 172.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 166.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 151.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 150.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 146.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 142.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 132.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 124.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 116$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 110.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…548fbacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 104.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 101.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.