TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73e8…cd6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
855
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT39265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 392 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.53
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$90.2
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$277.95
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,657.66
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$1,524.72
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$287.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,180
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.76
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53%+$210.74
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$280.84
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.44
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$755.92
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+60%+$363.29
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$1,257.94
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$250.29
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$194.04
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$699.76
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$307.67
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$145.62
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,760
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Showing 25 of 392 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT36048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 360 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.66
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.83
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$846.83
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.2
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.88
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$884
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.7
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$761.67
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$400.01
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$763.55
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.04
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$882
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$853.09
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$824.35
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$777.33
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$613.33
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.66
Showing 25 of 360 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6650%33 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,901.09
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$781.61
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$798.2
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.64
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.66
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.22
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.63
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.24
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.22
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+86%+$761.77
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$696.8
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$427.03
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.21
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$459.36
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.88
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$457.92
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$437.88
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.08
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$428.72
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$956.25
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.28
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.65
Cowboys vs. Cardinalsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$810.14
Spread: CHI (-1.5)backed CHI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.24
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.65
Spread: MIN (-2.5)backed MIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.48
Spread: CLE (-3.5)backed BUF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$693
WAS vs. DET: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,576.75
Spread: NYJ (-1.5)backed NYJ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$38.44
NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$881.28
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$735.3
SF vs. LAC: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$818.12
LV vs. HOU: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$811.99
LA vs. KC: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$826.43
DAL vs. SEA: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
CAR vs. BUF: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$781.61
PHI vs. BAL: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.52
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,170.36
Panthers vs. Billsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.65
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.88
MIN vs. NYG: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$762.32
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,099.84
DET vs. CIN: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
GB vs. PIT: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.39
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,360
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.