WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7d862cefe10afefb358f8c7419ba3cf7a6ca825b9e267a06806eb069b0b9d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 11,691$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.37 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c00…64a6backed Over | 48c | 10,414$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 4,032$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.43 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Under | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Under | 52c | 2,962$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.56 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 48c | 2,962$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.56 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 2,530$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.31 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 1,740$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.64 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,734$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 49c | 1,604$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 1,599$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.51 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 51c | 1,222$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.56 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 947.83$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 52c | 896.15$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 886$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.42 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 732$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 719.37$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.19 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 503.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 427.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 49c | 422$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 392$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 15c | 368.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 332$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 55c | 180.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 154.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 100.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 19c | 89.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 85.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Over | 51c | 81.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Over | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 51c | 68.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 47c | 67.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 49c | 62.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 44c | 59.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 40.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 39.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 37.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 34.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 42c | 33.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 32.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 50c | 31.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 44c | 29.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 51c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 49c | 21.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.