WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12745e891916f7f3b56f7454f9bf3defc20b699da474c4b80bd8d8e16df8543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 11,787$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.04 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 5,242$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.72 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 4,918$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.27 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 4,800$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 4,498$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.83 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 1,767$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 1,069$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.88 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 742$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 734.58$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 66c | 707.38$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 586.13$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.32 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 485.8$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Toronto Tempo | 39c | 371.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 358.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 37c | 309.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.63 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 294.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 256$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 252.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 230.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 34c | 204$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 201.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…70aebacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 180.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 176.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 162$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Toronto Tempo | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 139$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 112.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 32c | 109.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 102.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Toronto Tempo | 36c | 82.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 72.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Las Vegas Aces | 70c | 64.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 61.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…c9adbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 24c | 51.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 46.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 39.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Tempo | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 34.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…f0a1backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.