WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3bb836d1ea5345df6c772ff227cba16dae1e7aab87404905248f688973d471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 2,169$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.94 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 16c | 1,503$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,062$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.73 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 20c | 495.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 303.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 294.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 291.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 215.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 202.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 153.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 59c | 112.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 68c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 43c | 97.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Over | 44c | 77.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 48.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Under | 73c | 24.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 68c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 56c | 21.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.