WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbced88dd4fa9a711667727cf1ab6f967860cbf6a6b8e0512bba9a8ba676eb948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 18,436$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.81 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 13,235$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…521abacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 11,931$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 11,915$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…65ecbacked Toronto Tempo | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 9,560$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.6 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Toronto Tempo | 10c | 8,960$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 5,479$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.64 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 4,800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 4,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 4,289$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.63 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 3,688$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.75 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Tempo | 9c | 2,718$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 8c | 2,633$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 2,215$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…753cbacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 2,136$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 1,781$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 1,721$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo | 8c | 1,452$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 1,181$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 1,179$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 989.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 989.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 958.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 955.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 730.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…90d1backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo | 7c | 696.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 8c | 654.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Toronto Tempo | 7c | 631$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Toronto Tempo | 9c | 585.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo | 8c | 531$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto Tempo | 8c | 531$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 499.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 396.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 10c | 370$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 359.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 354.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 348.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Tempo | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Toronto Tempo | 10c | 299.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…fe8dbacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 293.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Toronto Tempo | 9c | 260.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Tempo | 14c | 240.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 224.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 223.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Toronto Tempo | 10c | 207.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 207.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 152.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…8c5ebacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 141.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo | 8c | 130.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 128$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 117.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 91.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Toronto Tempo | 15c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempothis page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.