TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces53c12,353$6,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,544.7926953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Toronto Tempo47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.9813048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Toronto Tempo47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.985561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces53c7,278$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.136154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo43c3,086$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.891,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Toronto Tempo47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5908859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Toronto Tempo51c2,843$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Tempo45c2,599$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.565558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Las Vegas Aces53c2,573$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.9638645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo43c1,901$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.5837141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Toronto Tempo47c1,626$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.2829654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo41c1,507$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8446247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Las Vegas Aces58c1,431$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8423746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces52c1,054$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.4438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Las Vegas Aces52c809.27$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.534443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Las Vegas Aces50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Las Vegas Aces54c727.8$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.653756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo46c652.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.178743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Toronto Tempo45c612.56$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0311250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo50c556.36$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo47c500$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Toronto Tempo44c479.02$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Toronto Tempo44c454.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Tempo44c454.45$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6512…e713backed Las Vegas Aces55c452.29$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Toronto Tempo47c425.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.461384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+72.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Las Vegas Aces49c374.68$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5932540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo45c256$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9592248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Toronto Tempo51c255$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Toronto Tempo53c235.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Las Vegas Aces49c224$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.764546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo48c206.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Las Vegas Aces49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo44c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.232346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo48c182.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1724546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo46c178.26$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0541145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Toronto Tempo48c157.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.415360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Toronto Tempo48c153.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.62552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo47c150.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9939947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Toronto Tempo42c129$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.822958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Las Vegas Aces56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Tempo48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3927049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Toronto Tempo45c112.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9332948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Toronto Tempo46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.322040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Las Vegas Aces48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Las Vegas Aces49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4913138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Tempo46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Las Vegas Aces49c99.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.751625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces50c93.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Las Vegas Aces54c91.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3513850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Las Vegas Aces54c90.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf732…abb5backed Toronto Tempo44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Las Vegas Aces55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.86955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Las Vegas Aces55c90.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Las Vegas Aces55c78.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.352462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo43c69.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2528647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Las Vegas Aces53c67.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.639345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Las Vegas Aces58c66.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.771631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Toronto Tempo44c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4310050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Las Vegas Aces49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Las Vegas Aces50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Toronto Tempo51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Tempo49c58.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9213048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Las Vegas Aces50c57.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Toronto Tempo45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.813256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Toronto Tempo45c55.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Toronto Tempo52c48.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0611242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Las Vegas Aces66c44.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2215451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo45c41.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Las Vegas Aces61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257669.7%53 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Toronto Tempo48c40.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Las Vegas Aces54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Las Vegas Aces57c36.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1517343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Las Vegas Aces53c36.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.346254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Las Vegas Aces57c35.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Las Vegas Aces57c35.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Las Vegas Aces50c34.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces55c33.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4261547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Toronto Tempo46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.823655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked Toronto Tempo45c31.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Toronto Tempo48c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Toronto Tempo43c28.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.268149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo40c27.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df4…bbc4backed Las Vegas Aces55c25.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces53c25.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5264152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac2…4fd8backed Las Vegas Aces47c24.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo54c24.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Toronto Tempo56c22.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Toronto Tempo46c21.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.813655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Las Vegas Aces53c21.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9334918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.