WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6428465f2f224b6acf9d57c2cca9617d9faf89e4dd7a41c3bbeade898514473f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 3,837$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.77 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 18c | 2,318$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.32 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 46c | 1,860$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.61 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 1,674$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.89 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,080$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.26 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 1,053$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 950$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 44c | 947$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.68 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 861.24$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 45c | 519$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 500.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.24 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 43c | 464.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 44c | 457.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 413$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Over | 48c | 315.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 67c | 306.29$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 283.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 275.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 227.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 47c | 170.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 42c | 124$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 57c | 112.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Over | 46c | 108.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 49c | 99.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Over | 46c | 95.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 85.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 79.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 71.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 53c | 57.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 49c | 55.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 54c | 49.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 57c | 48.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 46c | 48.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 45c | 35.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 51c | 22.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.