WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02c5bfecaf2212a2d2c86b1df96cfa4fd42fc7197922b508fb76de24eb29df24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 3,375$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.77 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 2,552$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,605$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.74 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.57 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 1,028$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.94 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 725$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 566.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 558.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 458.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 436.53$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 334.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 301.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 245.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 238.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 199$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 172.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 169.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 163.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 149.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…753cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 132.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 100.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 90.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 34c | 84.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 83.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 71.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 71.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 50.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 33.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 31.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 30.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 28.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 27.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.