TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Las Vegas Aces, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Tempo50c16,643$8,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,296.4326953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Las Vegas Aces50c7,000$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4655541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo57c4,800$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04819446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo51c3,280$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Las Vegas Aces51c3,235$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.8520947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo49c2,904$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.181,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Las Vegas Aces47c2,745$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.996735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces48c2,740$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.9946247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Tempo51c2,426$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6336154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces50c2,377$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.8489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04078548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toronto Tempo49c2,000$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.2415741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo50c1,606$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.8423746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Las Vegas Aces52c1,542$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Las Vegas Aces52c1,542$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.682948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Las Vegas Aces46c1,300$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60411250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Tempo49c1,294$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9413048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces49c1,281$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3641145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Las Vegas Aces49c1,251$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.943351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked Las Vegas Aces41c1,161$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo51c1,046$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.741,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo30c1,039$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.4350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Las Vegas Aces48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Tempo51c996.97$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1524347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces52c984$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Las Vegas Aces41c955.62$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.81650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…753cbacked Las Vegas Aces41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd1…864bbacked Las Vegas Aces46c836.22$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Las Vegas Aces52c770.83$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.837647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Las Vegas Aces52c769.22$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9910552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces66c768.33$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Las Vegas Aces47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3295831%18 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Las Vegas Aces40c640.75$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo56c606.38$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Tempo58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2529651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Las Vegas Aces52c588.46$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Las Vegas Aces52c570.62$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Toronto Tempo48c531.25$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2528558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces40c520.41$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1628647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo53c516.15$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0732150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…04ecbacked Las Vegas Aces42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Las Vegas Aces48c416.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Las Vegas Aces47c400.53$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.255341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Las Vegas Aces50c398.3$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.159245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f5…2d72backed Las Vegas Aces40c323.89$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Toronto Tempo52c240.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.353756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces49c238.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0992248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo49c224.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9117656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces40c216$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Las Vegas Aces52c203.65$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9332346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Las Vegas Aces42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Las Vegas Aces42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Las Vegas Aces47c197.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.723655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Las Vegas Aces41c190.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5637850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo46c184.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3432540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces50c175.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0436454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5476…c949backed Las Vegas Aces49c169$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Las Vegas Aces52c158.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo43c150.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9534753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Toronto Tempo59c133$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5317946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Las Vegas Aces50c128$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.368438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Las Vegas Aces55c121$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1937650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Las Vegas Aces51c114$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Las Vegas Aces43c113.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces49c107.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9174942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Las Vegas Aces42c104.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Las Vegas Aces48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Toronto Tempo51c96.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8813850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Toronto Tempo53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Toronto Tempo53c94.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Toronto Tempo60c86.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.744841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo56c80.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.861547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4555255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces49c76.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1530649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Toronto Tempo59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.272462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo23c76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5225246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Toronto Tempo48c73.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.974148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Las Vegas Aces48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0421150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Toronto Tempo48c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4413256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Las Vegas Aces47c67.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.791346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces51c66.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4819257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Toronto Tempo47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.923754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Toronto Tempo51c63.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.217248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo64c62.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Las Vegas Aces52c61.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.212552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Toronto Tempo50c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6110050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces49c54.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8864152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Toronto Tempo56c54.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Toronto Tempo46c53.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7614148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef32…7698backed Toronto Tempo53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Las Vegas Aces51c49.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Toronto Tempo49c45.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo48c45.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Tempo60c41.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6913256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Las Vegas Aces53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Toronto Tempo48c35.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.