TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ede…23e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$62.97
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)backed Go Ahead Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$49.52
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.