TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes56c271,405$151,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,390.85650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No44c101,360$44,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,809.614753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No44c38,966$16,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,996.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked No43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No45c16,828$7,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,572.6919742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed No45c15,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c15,000$9,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,629.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes59c11,392$6,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,678.231,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No45c10,717$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.1319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No45c10,400$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No45c10,108$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.6612755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c8,988$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.351,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No31c7,902$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.432,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c7,791$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.15,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No0c6,638$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.473,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No45c6,335$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.758643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x995f…be04backed No43c5,430$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No47c5,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.084047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes56c3,174$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.238746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No21c2,769$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c2,662$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.591,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c2,605$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.881,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No43c2,555$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.881838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No44c2,412$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.9231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c2,322$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.693,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No45c2,132$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c1,784$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.7575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No46c1,568$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.2822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c1,549$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.321,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No3c1,546$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3810128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No45c1,487$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.761618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes77c1,298$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6621252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked No1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.580%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9532…0af8backed No45c938.71$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.4250%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes54c844.37$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.412937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c824.03$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.021,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No46c818.8$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.583938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No21c816.04$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c803$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.352,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes56c799.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No43c753$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No43c700$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No46c615.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c549.44$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.731,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No46c535.01$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2218050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c534$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.811,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Yes56c518.96$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.344362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No46c512$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No46c507.24$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No45c454.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.552556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes55c454.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.548755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c406$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.761,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No17c399.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6911245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes56c366.05$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes56c364.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No45c336.56$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.454850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e4c…5695backed Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+139%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed No44c243.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No45c228.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.754658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Yes56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.213262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85ac…fce6backed No23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.281030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes66c201$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No45c189.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Yes54c181.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Yes56c172.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.862860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No46c156$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7615359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes62c149.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes59c148.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2512662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No45c146.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.947856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes56c129.55$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5719543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed No44c123.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes55c120.28$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6826465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes78c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.835240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No46c119.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No17c113.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Yes56c103.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.