TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x381c…c62d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$3,761.19
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+484.8%+$551.28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.91
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$58.17
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$25.85
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.73
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.22
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.78
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.62
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.8
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.2
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.8
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.07
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.42
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$11.58
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.08
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.39
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$484.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.18
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$67.26
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$68.43
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.42
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.48
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$124.7
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.53
Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.07
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$149.4
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.82
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.4
Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$476.18
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.43
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.97
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.75
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.02
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.78
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$226.38
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.96
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.8
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.9
Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.75
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.54
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.33
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$119.13
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.78
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.23
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.84
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.5
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-66.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$154.94
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$90.65
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$43.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.