WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ecf353b0ac08064da2058e66c94f7d64579248e955edb67a6cf4b91521b98f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Phoenix Mercury, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 21,363$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.08 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 7,455$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.76 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 5,990$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.69 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 5,909$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 5,836$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.65 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 5,386$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 5,029$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.31 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 5,011$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 3,283$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.8 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 3,072$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.92 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 2,800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 2,455$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 2,393$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.16 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 2,333$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.12 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 2,003$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.98 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 1,784$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 1,244$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 1,235$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 891.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 891.76$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 713$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d6c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…d417backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 426.22$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Phoenix Mercury | 3c | 421$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 407$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 362.2$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 344$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 342.2$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 307.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 268.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 254.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 245.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 230.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 226.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 212.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 208.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 195.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 181.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 175$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 173.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 170.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 161.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 160.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 152.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 148.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 141.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 137$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 127.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 124.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 110.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…febbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 87.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8fb8backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 86.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 82.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 79.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 68.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 56.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 46.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 43.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 42.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 38.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 33.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 23.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 22.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…9085backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Acesthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 170.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 171.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.