TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6262…b5c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3716.2%6 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.3
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.18
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$466.56
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.26
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,269.4
Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.05
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.49
Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.78
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.2
The Memphis Classic: Tatiana Prozorova vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Hamburg European Open: Mona Barthel vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.66
Athens Open: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Alycia Parksbacked Valentini Grammatikopoulou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.81
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.41
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosabacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.64
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.28
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.44
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.93
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Lexus Eastbourne Open: McCartney Kessler vs Madison Keysbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.5
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Greet Minnenbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+527.6%+$399.16
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Madison Keysbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.61
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-0.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.9
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.37
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.6
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.22
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.71
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.42
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.78
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.12
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.46
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.18
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+641.8%+$1,283.52
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.14
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.51
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-81.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.37
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.36
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.33
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.87
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.95
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.94
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prengabacked Prenga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Boston Celtics vs. Charlotte Hornetsbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.