Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17156b7b58f03a9cab5975f0b75dac9e5d888b53a65d05c86c5508968e42a5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paula Badosaof Simona Waltert, Paula Badosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Simona Waltert | 25c | 51,290$12,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,688.73 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Simona Waltert | 32c | 27,838$9,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Simona Waltert | 18c | 16,824$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.91 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paula Badosa | 75c | 13,754$10,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Paula Badosa | 52c | 11,154$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.98 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paula Badosa | 71c | 10,063$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Paula Badosa | 75c | 7,125$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 6,666$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.31 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Simona Waltert | 16c | 6,642$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 2,966$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.82 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 2,403$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.1 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Paula Badosa | 71c | 2,332$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.28 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paula Badosa | 49c | 2,137$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 2,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Simona Waltert | 30c | 1,815$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Simona Waltert | 22c | 1,504$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Paula Badosa | 72c | 1,292$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.31 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paula Badosa | 74c | 1,287$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.64 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Simona Waltert | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Simona Waltert | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Simona Waltert | 23c | 1,070$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Paula Badosa | 80c | 1,024$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 938.72$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 899.53$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Simona Waltert | 14c | 858.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Paula Badosa | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Simona Waltert | 22c | 789$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Paula Badosa | 76c | 735.53$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Simona Waltert | 22c | 728$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Paula Badosa | 70c | 709.9$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Paula Badosa | 66c | 661.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Simona Waltert | 16c | 620.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Simona Waltert | 15c | 617.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Simona Waltert | 17c | 613.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Paula Badosa | 65c | 489.23$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Simona Waltert | 15c | 404.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Simona Waltert | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Simona Waltert | 23c | 377.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 377.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Simona Waltert | 14c | 362.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…821bbacked Simona Waltert | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Paula Badosa | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Simona Waltert | 23c | 281.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Paula Badosa | 70c | 278.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Paula Badosa | 70c | 272.68$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Paula Badosa | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Paula Badosa | 46c | 236.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Paula Badosa | 53c | 234$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Simona Waltert | 23c | 230.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Simona Waltert | 32c | 181.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Simona Waltert | 57c | 169.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 167.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Paula Badosa | 70c | 156.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Paula Badosa | 72c | 151.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…5112backed Paula Badosa | 72c | 148.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Simona Waltert | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Simona Waltert | 7c | 143.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…64d3backed Paula Badosa | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Paula Badosa | 66c | 140.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Paula Badosa | 76c | 134.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Paula Badosa | 77c | 132.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Simona Waltert | 30c | 129.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…2889backed Paula Badosa | 50c | 124.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Paula Badosa | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Simona Waltert | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Paula Badosa | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Simona Waltert | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Paula Badosa | 70c | 113.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Simona Waltert | 26c | 111.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Paula Badosa | 69c | 111.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Simona Waltert | 16c | 105.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Simona Waltert | 19c | 104.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paula Badosa | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Paula Badosa | 80c | 87.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Simona Waltert | 14c | 87.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Paula Badosa | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Simona Waltert | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Simona Waltert | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Simona Waltert | 40c | 75.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Paula Badosa | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Paula Badosa | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Paula Badosa | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Paula Badosa | 52c | 67.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Simona Waltert | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Simona Waltert | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Simona Waltert | 55c | 60.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…a3c7backed Simona Waltert | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Simona Waltert | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Paula Badosa | 68c | 58.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…59e1backed Paula Badosa | 71c | 56.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…faeebacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 56.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Paula Badosa | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Simona Waltert | 19c | 54.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Waltert vs BadosaBadosa won
- Set 2 Winner: Waltert vs BadosaBadosa won
- Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Waltert (+1.5)Badosa won
- Waltert vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Waltert vs. Badosa: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.