TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82c7…64d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4766%31 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williamsbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.48
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$7.28
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.14
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$32.34
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Jordan Lee vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.23
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$13.53
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.57
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$12.52
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$32.68
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$10.53
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$7.48
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$35.06
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$10.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$206.1
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$53.04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.79
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$60.3
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$57.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$178.16
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.96
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.83
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.92
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33%+$33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$116.34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$106.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.