Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Jordan Lee vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975eea814303254628d43d45884299e755cf4d84cf3c36b2d3294e7b7da430c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moez Echarguiof Jordan Lee, Moez Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jordan Lee | 28c | 4,169$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.22 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jordan Lee | 22c | 2,568$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.9 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Jordan Lee | 2c | 1,596$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Jordan Lee | 16c | 1,248$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Moez Echargui | 78c | 1,237$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Moez Echargui | 78c | 978.95$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Jordan Lee | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Moez Echargui | 61c | 695.49$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.03 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jordan Lee | 32c | 664.14$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jordan Lee | 23c | 557.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moez Echargui | 76c | 534.12$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Jordan Lee | 17c | 352.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jordan Lee | 15c | 311.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Jordan Lee | 25c | 286$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jordan Lee | 23c | 272$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jordan Lee | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Moez Echargui | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Moez Echargui | 77c | 195.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Jordan Lee | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Jordan Lee | 26c | 159.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Jordan Lee | 33c | 139.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jordan Lee | 25c | 130.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jordan Lee | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Jordan Lee | 23c | 98.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jordan Lee | 24c | 93.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Moez Echargui | 70c | 92.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jordan Lee | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jordan Lee | 19c | 78.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jordan Lee | 25c | 76.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Jordan Lee | 18c | 76.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Jordan Lee | 25c | 73.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked Moez Echargui | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…64d3backed Moez Echargui | 75c | 52.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Moez Echargui | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Moez Echargui | 75c | 44.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Jordan Lee | 28c | 43.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Moez Echargui | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Moez Echargui | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Moez Echargui | 75c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Moez Echargui | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Moez Echargui | 74c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Moez Echargui | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Moez Echargui | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Moez Echargui | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.