TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93ee…794d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Boxing at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT7356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Edward Winterbacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bonn: Max Schoenhaus vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bonn: Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Jordan Lee vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$21.57
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$18.56
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$23.68
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winnipeg: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burelbacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$123.39
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$40.22
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.39
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Tampere: Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Zug: Harold Mayot vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,277.02
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+455.6%+$9,111.11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+357.3%+$2,858.01
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,688Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.1%+$1,972.99
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$700
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,777.78
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,735.05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$490
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$918.78
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.82
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$98.93
Khamenei seen in public before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.01
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+62%+$2,695.87
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$119.59
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$87.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60%+$29.64
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$56.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$190.05
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$136.19
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$466.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$830.4
Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$542.53
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$108.44
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.16
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,077Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.1%+$2,342.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.