Tennis · resolved market
Tampere: Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5084319a5489b1b17901b8dd7825db1d199008dc7aeb388f8518985f48be5061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otto Virtanenof Henri Squire, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Henri Squire | 0c | 55,293$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Henri Squire | 17c | 35,129$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.92 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 18,216$14,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.58 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Henri Squire | 22c | 5,032$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.04 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Henri Squire | 35c | 1,758$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.38 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Otto Virtanen | 67c | 1,671$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.84 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Henri Squire | 35c | 1,601$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.35 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 1,552$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Henri Squire | 26c | 1,467$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.58 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Henri Squire | 34c | 1,359$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.95 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 1,230$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.3 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Henri Squire | 33c | 1,109$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.92 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Henri Squire | 34c | 1,097$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.91 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Henri Squire | 14c | 935.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 695$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Otto Virtanen | 66c | 576.73$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Otto Virtanen | 71c | 507.24$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Otto Virtanen | 79c | 498.05$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 397.44$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Henri Squire | 34c | 338.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Otto Virtanen | 65c | 260.29$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Henri Squire | 34c | 251.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 234.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 352 | 64.2%226 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 224.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Henri Squire | 22c | 215.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Otto Virtanen | 67c | 201.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Otto Virtanen | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Henri Squire | 18c | 188.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Otto Virtanen | 75c | 184.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Henri Squire | 20c | 170.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Otto Virtanen | 65c | 144.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Henri Squire | 19c | 141.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Henri Squire | 34c | 119.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Henri Squire | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…147fbacked Henri Squire | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce76…9371backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Henri Squire | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Otto Virtanen | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 73.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Henri Squire | 43c | 69.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Otto Virtanen | 65c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Henri Squire | 34c | 64.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Henri Squire | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Otto Virtanen | 69c | 59.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Henri Squire | 34c | 58.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Henri Squire | 35c | 52.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Otto Virtanen | 64c | 50.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Henri Squire | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Otto Virtanen | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Henri Squire | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Otto Virtanen | 53c | 44.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Henri Squire | 24c | 43.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 38.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…aa36backed Henri Squire | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked Otto Virtanen | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Henri Squire | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Henri Squire | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 29.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Henri Squire | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Henri Squire | 35c | 28.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 350 | 51.1%179 W · 171 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 24.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Otto Virtanen | 80c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.