TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cb6…96d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
500
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT46565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 465 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$93.65
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$80.47
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$260.03
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$87.19
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.86
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keysbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$134.14
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Mariabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.17
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$27.85
Swiatek vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignonbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$27.16
Showing 25 of 465 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$113.65
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$64.03
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$162.26
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$81.11
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$102.7
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+160.3%+$99.39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$83.74
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+301.6%+$60.32
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.21
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$392.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$96.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.