TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Daria Snigur, Madison Keys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Madison Keys45c50,131$22,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,476.51,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Snigur46c24,961$11,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,558.34,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daria Snigur44c21,071$9,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,370.568,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Daria Snigur56c13,873$7,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,791.664,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Daria Snigur35c13,000$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.241,40428.7%403 W · 1,001 L+4.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Madison Keys48c10,114$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,272.934457.6%198 W · 146 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Madison Keys68c10,000$6,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.5917750.8%90 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Madison Keys62c6,224$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.356,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Madison Keys45c6,103$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.583,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Madison Keys47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65028350.9%144 W · 139 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Daria Snigur63c3,589$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2611,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…9a05backed Daria Snigur29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0151435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111d…21babacked Daria Snigur66c3,400$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2442955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Daria Snigur68c3,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03053044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Madison Keys40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.982524%6 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Madison Keys46c2,687$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.2853942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Madison Keys68c2,468$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.832,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Madison Keys74c2,085$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3111147.7%53 W · 58 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Daria Snigur32c2,069$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7435450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Daria Snigur35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029454.8%161 W · 133 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Madison Keys70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60035038.3%134 W · 216 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Madison Keys71c1,851$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.8965459%386 W · 268 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Daria Snigur30c1,837$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0159852.7%315 W · 283 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9d…cf12backed Madison Keys46c1,109$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.72560%15 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Madison Keys69c1,088$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1845457%259 W · 195 L+27.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Daria Snigur55c979.63$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.7980558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a2…a5ffbacked Daria Snigur41c923$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2215135.1%53 W · 98 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Madison Keys45c873.79$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.318051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Madison Keys60c832.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.881,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daria Snigur27c819.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.534,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Madison Keys77c818.89$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.512,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Daria Snigur30c799.98$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.992,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Daria Snigur44c743.65$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32531447.8%150 W · 164 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Madison Keys42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40629549.8%147 W · 148 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Snigur47c697.69$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.728,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa17…7409backed Madison Keys46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.17850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Daria Snigur47c641.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027655.1%152 W · 124 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Madison Keys40c631.94$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9651933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Madison Keys51c599.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.749,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Daria Snigur9c598.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.834953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Madison Keys41c581.22$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.92,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daria Snigur51c573.12$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.288,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Daria Snigur37c570.17$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.968022.5%18 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Daria Snigur45c520.36$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9834145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Madison Keys39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8288935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Madison Keys51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24510446.2%48 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2cd…841dbacked Madison Keys40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010122.8%23 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Daria Snigur33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.52339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daria Snigur34c486.63$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.945,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daria Snigur54c478$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9311,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x687d…6f20backed Daria Snigur9c447.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.43060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Madison Keys71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Madison Keys74c421.34$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Madison Keys44c405.23$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2315458.4%90 W · 64 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd772…1d8fbacked Daria Snigur67c400.47$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.52653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Daria Snigur23c400$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9324931.3%78 W · 171 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Madison Keys69c381.91$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.911,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Madison Keys54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3720351.2%104 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3b…7890backed Daria Snigur53c369.81$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Madison Keys67c360.66$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.754,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Daria Snigur56c352.27$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.541,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Madison Keys70c349.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9995455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Madison Keys64c349.17$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0224759.5%147 W · 100 L+19.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Daria Snigur43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024448.4%118 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Madison Keys46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.831,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…7f44backed Daria Snigur29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Madison Keys74c344.23$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.062,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x280f…ad6abacked Daria Snigur32c343.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0512851.6%66 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Daria Snigur30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,01141.4%419 W · 592 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Daria Snigur30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036521.6%79 W · 286 L+1.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Daria Snigur30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Madison Keys73c333$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9139055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Daria Snigur29c325.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0319537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Daria Snigur31c312.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.888741.4%36 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Daria Snigur32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010337.9%39 W · 64 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Daria Snigur32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Daria Snigur32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010739.3%42 W · 65 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Daria Snigur31c312.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8810140.6%41 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Daria Snigur35c310$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1099055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Daria Snigur31c306.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9518325.1%46 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Daria Snigur32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9711237.5%42 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Daria Snigur32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9713138.2%50 W · 81 L-16.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Daria Snigur32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9710038%38 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Daria Snigur32c303.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9712340.7%50 W · 73 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Madison Keys71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8736361.7%224 W · 139 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Daria Snigur23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31,84244.6%822 W · 1,020 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Madison Keys50c280.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0912543.2%54 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…c784backed Daria Snigur36c278.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4917643.8%77 W · 99 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Daria Snigur57c263.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1587450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Daria Snigur37c263.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1621351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa1…2c8abacked Madison Keys38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.066055%33 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Madison Keys39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4113338.3%51 W · 82 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc07b…161cbacked Daria Snigur36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Madison Keys41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.511548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Madison Keys69c249.7$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4184349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Madison Keys68c245.35$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5128738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Daria Snigur20c226$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4573738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Daria Snigur35c225.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.611,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Daria Snigur38c218.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.431,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Madison Keys65c216.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.551,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.